Short Story ⟡ Informatics

In a Corner of Probability Space

A story of finding one's own existence within the abstract concept of probability space.

  • #probability space
  • #sample space
  • #events
  • #measure theory

"What is probability space?"

Yuki asked. Sitting in front of Professor S at Café Shannon.

"Mathematically, it consists of three elements," the professor answered. "Sample space Ω, collection of events F, and probability measure P."

"That's difficult..."

Aoi supplemented. "Sample space is the set of all possible outcomes."

"For example?"

"For dice, {1,2,3,4,5,6}."

"I understand that."

"The collection of events F is all subsets of the sample space," Aoi continued. "'Even number appears' is the event {2,4,6}."

"What about probability measure P?"

"A function assigning probability from 0 to 1 to each event," the professor explained.

Yuki thought. "But why is such an abstract definition necessary?"

"Good question," the professor smiled. "Because reality is more complex than dice."

"What do you mean?"

Aoi opened her notebook. "For example, tomorrow's weather. Not just sunny or rainy. Temperature, humidity, wind speed - all are random variables."

"To handle all of that?"

"You need infinite-dimensional probability space."

Yuki was surprised. "Infinite-dimensional?"

"Yes. But with mathematical framework, you can handle it rigorously."

The professor added. "In information theory, sequences of messages are elements of probability space."

"Message sequences?"

"Infinite sequences of 0s and 1s. Their totality constitutes the sample space Ω."

Aoi explained. "And assign probabilities to each sequence. That's an information source."

"Information sources are also probability spaces."

"Yes," the professor nodded. "All uncertainty can be modeled with probability space."

Yuki suddenly thought. "Are our lives also in probability space?"

"Philosophical," the professor considered. "In a sense, yes."

"What do you mean?"

"Life's choices, encounters, events. All are one realized result from countless possibilities."

Aoi continued. "In probability space Ω, all possible lives exist."

"But only one is realized."

"Yes. One point in the sample space."

Yuki said quietly. "Then we're in a corner of probability space."

"Poetic," Aoi smiled.

The professor nodded deeply. "But that corner is everything. Only the realized world exists for us."

"Other possibilities?"

"As events of measure zero, they exist theoretically. But we never experience them."

Yuki pondered. "It's somehow strange."

"What is?"

"From infinite possibilities, this reality was chosen."

Aoi said, "Probability-wise, something must happen. The probability of all events is 1."

"But the probability of this specific reality occurring?"

"Arbitrarily close to zero," the professor answered quietly.

"Yet it happened."

"Yes. That's the wonder of probability space."

Yuki drank her coffee. "Even our conversation here."

"One event realized from countless possibilities."

"A miracle?"

"Mathematically, explainable by probability measure. But how you feel is up to each person."

Aoi said quietly. "A corner of probability space. But for us, the entire world."

"Indeed," the professor acknowledged.

Yuki looked outside the window. People walking the streets. Each one a realization in probability space.

"Existing certainly within uncertainty," Yuki murmured.

"Good expression," the professor smiled.

A corner of probability space. But infinite meaning resides there.